Latest Security Updates
Is it safe to go to the Holy Land?
For well over a hundred years there has been tension in the Holy Land, but it is only between Israelis and Palestinians, and not with Christian tourists. Both sides welcome us! After all, we bring tourist dollars. During our tour, we mainly visit Christian sites.
I monitor the situation there every day, on the Jerusalem Post and Al-Monitor.com websites, which you can too, if you like. You can also read my full description of Middle East issues in my 21-page article “Middle East: Problems and Promises”.
Let me also confirm that I never cancel our annual archaeological trip. We go every year. If Our Lord chose to visit this ancient troubled area, then I will too.
In Jerusalem, we always try to visit the Muslim site called the Temple Mount. There are frequent routine small demonstrations there about two or three times a week. They are predictable, and so we simply reschedule our visit around them if time permits.
Every city and region in the world has its safe and unsafe places to visit, whether in New York, Los Angeles, or Jerusalem. We only visit places that are considered safe. Our Catholic travel agency was founded in Jerusalem in 1930, and is well known there for generations and well situated to monitor the situation accurately, and update us accordingly.
Your Quick Summary of Today’s Middle East Issues:
Middle East Poverty: Muslim scholars have wondered for centuries why the Middle East is so poor and backward. About 50% of the area is now under the age of 30 …and about 50% of them are unemployed. Muslim scholars remember that centuries ago, Islam ruled all North Africa, Southern Europe, and the whole Middle East as one Islamic State. It is gone now and so they ask, “What went wrong?” One extreme answer came from a radical Islamic movement that started a few decades ago. Rather than joining the world economy, it wants to restore the ancient Islamic State by promoting only the very strictest interpretation of Islam and eliminating all non- Muslims, and even non-strict Muslims as well.
Iran: In 1979, Iran became the first country led by these radical Islamic rulers, and promote this extreme version of Islam with its large military, economic, and future nuclear forces to restore former Islamic glory. Iran made most of the roadside bombs that injured or killed US troops and supports radical violent Islamist groups throughout the Middle East.
Al-Qaeda and ISIS: Both sought the same goals or restoring former Islamic glory, Al-Qaeda through terrorism such as the 9-11 attack, and ISIS by reconquering land, as it did in Iraq and Syria. Fortunately, all the land ISIS conquered in Iraq and Syria was restored by Iraq, Turkey, and US led military cooperation. However, both ISIS and Al-Qaeda will continue isolated terror attacks around the world. Fortunately, courageous joint counter-terror efforts by the world community have stopped almost all attacks. A few will tragically succeed, however, there is no doubt that ISIS and Al-Qaeda are fading. Islamic youth are turned off by their senseless violence.
The Arab Spring: Most of the population of the Middle East is under 30 years old, and many are unemployed due to massive corruption and greed of their leaders. In 2011, they began popular revolts that toppled the governments of Tunisia, Libya, and even twice in Egypt! The Syrian people’s revolt tragically continues because of Iranian support of the government. The Arab Spring was not a pro-democracy movement but an anti-corruption effort to raise the standard of living of young people. Arab leaders now know that they must serve for the needs of their people, or they will be toppled too!
Islamic Competition: Arab vs. Non-Arab
Islam is divided into two religious variations: Sunni Islam and Shia Islam. About 80% of Arab Muslims are Sunni, and are mostly led by Saudi Arabia. About 20% of Muslims are Shia, and mostly live in Iran, however Iranians are not Arabs, but Persians. In addition, Turkey, a Sunni nation wants to lead the Muslim world as well, but they are also not Arabs, but Turks.
Shia Iran, Sunni Saudi Arabia, and Sunni Turkey are all competing to lead Islam in the Middle East. However, the new pro-American leadership in Saudi Arabia, seeking to provide for the youth, wants to bring the whole Middle East peacefully into the modern world and join the world economy, while anti-American Shia Iran wants to eradicate all Sunni Muslims and keep Islam ancient and traditional. Turkey is still trying to find its role. However, a possible Iranian nuclear weapon is changing everything!
Iran Nuclear Agreement: If Iran gets nuclear weapons, then Arab countries will want them too, leading to massive instability. For years the US negotiated with Iran to contain its nuclear program. This was a noble goal, although the inspection of nuclear sites was limited only to known sites and not secret ones. The final nuclear deal was an executive agreement between leaders and not a formal treaty requiring congressional approval. It certainly never stopped Iran in its terrorism against Sunni Muslims, which greatly angered Arab nations. However, the massive terrorism expenses of Iran also angered their youth by robbing them of the economic aid they needed. Iranian youth by the many hundreds of thousands twice demonstrated to overthrow the regime there in 2009 and 2016.
In 2017, the US ended its nuclear deal with Iran, increased diplomatic and economic pressure, and began a new relationship with the new pro-American leadership in Saudi Arabia. This has opened amazing new hopes for Middle East peace.
New Arab-USA Comprehensive Israeli-Palestinian Peace Plan
All Arab governments deeply fear another “Arab Spring” and Iranian nuclear and terrorist aggression. Providing for Arab youth and confronting Iranian aggression have created a new opening for peace.
In return for the 2017 US opposition to Iran, Saudi Arabia has agreed to help lead the new Arab-USA plan to end Israeli-Palestinian hostility. The Saudis want to lead the Middle East peacefully into the world economy, and generate new business resources besides oil. Arab leaders believe the Palestinian-Israeli conflict is a drag on much needed Arab economic prosperity. This new peace plan has both economic and political sections. The economic plan was released in 2019 and the political section in early 2020.
The Arab-USA peace plan supports an Israeli-Palestinian “Two-State” Peace process that seeks to establish both a secure State of Israel and an eventual secure State of Palestine generally along the 1967 borders if basic security concerns are met. This progression toward a Palestinian State parallels the slow journey that Israel itself took to statehood in 1947-1948. These two nations at peace would prosper enormously with a joint political economic and prosperity plan.
This goal is so important that most Arab leaders and Arab people want this prosperity plan whether the present Palestinian leaders cooperate or not.
What prevents Israeli-Palestinian Peace?
A big problem is that Palestinian areas are divided into two regions, the West Bank, and Gaza Strip. Each is ruled by rival factions that are deeply opposed to each other. The Gaza Strip is ruled by a political-military- group called Hamas that the US long ago declared a terrorist group. The West Bank is ruled by Fatah, a deeply corrupt organization. They often attack and murder each other’s officials.
Some Israeli leaders want a One Israeli State solution while Hamas, Iran, Al-Qaeda, ISIS and some Palestinian leaders want a “One Palestinian State” solution.
Both are enormous fantasies, and not facing reality. Can anyone expect the amazingly prosperous 10 million Israelis, or 5 million Palestinians to disappear? There is no peace among politicians with this fantasy.
The Jewish people progressed from their UN sponsored land in 1947 to full statehood in 1948, despite enormous worldwide anti-Semitic opposition that continues to this day …and yet they built an amazing economic powerhouse from a virtual desert. Ironically, Palestinian politicians enjoy enormous worldwide support to this day and yet their people remain in poverty. They should build a state before they have a state just as the Israelis did. What Palestinian people desperately need from their leaders are decisions that are rooted in reality.
Unfortunately, many Palestinian leaders are blatantly corrupt, and siphon off some of the billions of foreign aid that is meant for their people. Yasser Arafat, the founder of the Palestinian movement, died with 6 billion dollars in his personal account. The present leader, Mahmoud Abbas, is also a billionaire. Meanwhile, the people are still in poverty, which I witness myself every year. Some Palestinian politicians resist any move toward peace in order to get more foreign aid. Of course, some Israeli leaders are also corrupt, but they are often caught and held accountable.
Many Arab leaders believe the Palestinian leaders are not interested in peace or a two-state solution but only greed, and the eradication of Israel.
The Meaning of the Embassy Move to Jerusalem
Moving the US Embassy is simply facing reality. In 1995, our Congress declared Jerusalem as Israel’s capital. However, the move was delayed every year in the hope of peace. It took all these years for the US to see that Palestinian leaders were not acting in good faith, or facing reality. While Israel would recognize Palestine, Palestinian leaders would not recognize Israel. The Arab-USA peace plan allows a future Palestinian State capital in East Jerusalem. Gradually, more and more countries are following the US lead and moving their embassies there as well. The new Arab and USA peace plan “The Abrahamic Accords” is already producing results for peace.
The Abrahamic Accords
This long-awaited Saudi Arabia and US plan was released in 2020 and has already made progress. Several Arab States have formalized relations with Israel. They recognize their future lies in providing for the economic needs, social dignity, and honor of their own Arab people, and that goal lies with trade with the main economic powerhouse of the Middle East which is Israel.
Many Arab states have also concluded that the Palestinian unbridgeable gap between the violent Hamas terrorist leaders in Gaza and the deeply corrupt Fatah leaders in the West Bank is a drag on the Arab future. They believe the Palestinian leaders in both areas are deeply corrupt and not interested in peace.
The Abrahamic Accords are a recognition of the Arab world’s desire to move forward for the prosperity and dignity of their own people.
The Recent 2021 Hamas-Israel Conflict
Hamas recognizes that the Arab world is moving on and no longer believes in Palestinian leaders, whether Hamas or Fatah, and took advantage of a small Jerusalem land dispute between Palestinian and Israeli families to escalate the conflict to a massive missile barrage on southern Israeli towns. Their Iranian provided missiles are unguided, and so are never sent toward Jerusalem where they might hit the Temple Mount or even Arab neighborhoods. Most are shot down by Israeli defense forces.
The Hamas offensive is designed to stop The Abrahamic Accords of Arab states and Israel. However, Arab leaders know what their people want, and even what the Palestinian people want, and it is not war. Israel may decide to continue their defense until assured that Hamas is permanently ended. This is the best hope for peace for Palestinian and Israeli people, and Arab peoples throughout the Middle East.
Respect for the needs of Arab youth, fear of radical Iran, a deep desire for economic prosperity, and future trade with prosperous Israel are the driving forces of peace now.
God Bless!
Father Dave
Wes Stupar says
Thanks for the update Father Dave! I am glad to hear a spirit of optimism. From what you say, I conclude that Iran is the major obstacle in moving toward peace. I am encouraged to see that many of the Iranian people are speaking out in demonstrations against the oppressive government.
Father Dave says
Yes, the Iranian youth are reinforcing the points of the article. Amazing timing! Our hearts are with them.
Florencia Murphy says
Father Dave, thank you very much for succinctly clarifying the history of the current problems in the Middle East. According to the main stream media, the recognition of Jerusalem as the capital of Israel is controversial and disruptive to the peace process. You have made clear for me that the opposite is true. I am hopeful.
Father Dave says
Yes, we have good reasons to be hopeful!
Jiudy Tomsic says
Happy New Year Fr. Dave,
I am currently reading Hillaire Belloc’s book, “The Great Heresies” recognizing that what might have been called a schism as between Mohammed and Catholicism in that the founder of Islam kept many Christian doctrines implanted in his promotion of the Islamic heresy, he is known as the founder of a new religion. To what extent, if any, is Pope Francis influencing the co-operation of Sunni Muslim education so as to Evangelize the Middle East the way we seek to do with our Protestant bros. and sisters during this past year of memorializing the heresies of the Protestant Reformatiom.
Father Dave says
I have no doubt that within our lifetime several Protestant religions will return to the Catholic faith. The Lutherans may be the first. Just an opinion, but I believe that is the trajectory of all the Papal activities.
Fred Wallace says
What is the process to join you during your annual pilgrimage? Would love to see the holy land. Thanks.
Father Dave says
Just visit my webpage at daveheney.com, and click on the link “Holy Land Pilgrimage.” You can also simply call our travel agent at 800 566 7499, and ask about the “Fr. Heney Group.” It would be great to have you aboard! We go every year, so if not this year, then the next.
Argyle Nelson says
Excellent analysis of the Middle East situation. Many thanks for your clear and concise insights. Happy New Year (hope it is a peaceful one)! Argyle
Father Dave says
Happy New Year!
Jane says
Thank you for the informative update that is comprehensible, even for me to understand.
I believe we have to do our part in prayer, kindness and continue to reflect Jesus best virtue of love and mercy to the world so the world will be ready to accept peace in the Middle East.
Thank you again for doing the research and writing Fr. Dave, I think we all appreciate it.
Father Dave says
You are welcome! I am glad you found it helpful.
Joseph Lynch says
Fr. Dave:
You are a well known historian for this region. Truth, courage and resolve in any situation are the first steps to resolution. I am encouraged that we as a nation are supporting our friends and warning our enemies. When you are the most powerful nation in the world and take that responsibility very seriously, it is important to speak clearly so that bad actors know they have resistant. I trust we will use our might very responsibly and give peace every chance. When good stands down, evil wins. .
Father Dave says
Thank you for your kind words! I like your words, “truth, courage, and resolve in any situation are the first steps to resolution.” Well said!
John McCarthy says
Father Dave, many thanks for your analysis, I agree with your thoughts on the Middle East. I am looking forward to joining you on June 11 as we as we begin our Holy Land Trip learning more about Our Lord’s teachings.
Happy New Year
John
Father Dave says
See you soon in Jerusalem!
Carol Slavin says
Thank you so much for this update, Fr. Dave. The issues in the Middle East seem so complex, yet you make them easy to understand. I have been wondering about this move of our embassy to Jerusalem and haven’t taken the time to figure out if it’s a good or a bad thing. The media make it so confusing…. You are a much more trustworthy source!! One of these years I hope to join you in the Holy Land. It’s on my bucket list! God bless you for keeping us informed and for your wonderful positive outlook.
Father Dave says
You are very welcome! I hope you can join us one year in the Holy Land.
Dee says
Dear Fr. Dave,
Reality, truth, and peace w/in the Israeli-Palestinian region are quite attainable, because majority of women in that region do not believe in greed. However, they do believe in raising a family; and if they’re already raising their infants, they’d settle for ‘…milk for the baby…’ They wouldn’t even think of their family getting involved in big business.
But maybe, I’m wrong, nevertheless the reality is that, nobody would dare to listen to these women, them being homemakers only!.
Father Dave says
I think you are right, in that most women in that region, and I think most people in general there, are mainly interested in prosperity for thier family, which principally means a job and a good economy. What better place to trade than with the enormously prosperous Israeli economy right next door!
Kathleen Auth says
Dear Father Dave,
The Middle East and its history is complicated and often confusing. Your article is concise and very informative! Your perspective is definitely trustworthy. Thank you so much for presenting this to us.
Have a blessed, happy, and healthy new year, 2018.
God bless you.
Kathleen
Father Dave says
Thank you!. I am glad you found the article helpful. Happy New Year!
Margaret Sberna-Santangelo says
As usual, your explanations are so wonderful. Easy to understand and leaves me assured that it is truly safe to go on Pilgrimage with you. After visiting the Holy Land with you 3 times, the last of which was the LAST time you went (June 2017), and I attest to the fact that we are kept safe, and feel safe. Bill and I will certainly join you again in the very near future, however, can not go this year due to other obligations. God Bless you Father Dave, and when it comes to the temperament of the Middle East, you are a reliable source. I consider your opinions of the political environment there to be a professional opinion because you keep your finger on the pulse of the Middle East.
God Bless and Happy New Year!
Father Dave says
Thank you so much for your kind comments. I look forward to you both joining us again in the Holy Land!